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Showing posts with label retirement age. Show all posts
Showing posts with label retirement age. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Things to Think About as the Federal Budget Approaches



above:  Joe Hockey and Tony Abbott will claim Australia 'is living beyond its means' - but behind this rhetoric there is simply an Ideology of small government - regardless of the human cost.
 
Tristan Ewins

As the Federal Budget approaches for 2014-2015 there has been speculation to the effect that the Government may resort to PAYE income tax bracket creep or a GST hike in order to fund its spending.   The ALP is rightly critical of any GST option that is not part of a broader progressive package. (perhaps Shorten may not even support a GST increase in any form or context) Increasing the GST base - either generally, or by ‘broadening its base’ to apply to food and health -  could be highly regressive.  But the bracket creep option is also potentially regressive – as low income earners could see themselves pushed upward into higher brackets without any real increase in their disposable income. (Again: it depends on the ‘overall package’ of the tax/welfare mix)

Further, the Government is considering raising the age of retirement, or cutting back Aged Pension eligibility.  Some are also agitating for a cut back in the Disability Support Pension rate – and possibly also eligibility.  That includes the Treasurer himself, Joe Hockey.

The ‘pension option’ is deemed by some to be ‘inescapable’ because of the ageing population, and the ‘incentive’ for people to claim the DSP as opposed to NewStart. 

We are living longer, it is true – but it is not true for all of us.  And indeed – while some are living longer – they are also living with loneliness, frailty, and sometimes indignity.   This begs the question why higher Aged Care expenditure is not on the agenda – as opposed to pension austerity.  

There is also the question of what matters most in life: the chronic capitalist commitment to endless economic growth regardless of the social cost – or the opportunity for older Australians to enjoy a retirement in comfort and dignity; enjoying opportunities for personal development not possible beforehand during their working life.

Finally – we need to maintain perspective. 

‘Deloitte Access Economics’ claimed the Government could save $2.4 billion over four years by limiting increases in the disability pension to inflation.  But when placed into perspective this is pittance to the Government when compared to the effects on the comfort, dignity and relative independence of the disabled.   And even if this amount would grow as the aged population increases,  according to ‘Wikipedia’: “the economy of Australia is one of the largest capitalist economies in the world with a GDP of US$1.57 trillion.”  Despite an ageing population – caring for those people will still be ‘well within our means’.

So while the Disability Support Pension costs “$15 billion a year” and the Aged Pension currently costs $38 billion  – probably rising to $55 billion in 2050  – that needs to be considered in the context of a (current) GDP of approximately $1.6 TRILLION. (Aus dollars; and a much larger GDP by 2050 also!) 

And while the Government claims it will not attack existing disability pensioners – the cost over the years might be high in the form of attrition against new disability pensioners.

Indeed, there is even the danger that the National Disability Insurance Scheme itself may come under threat; or that only those with the most profound physical disabilities will be considered worthy of support by a government trying to ‘wriggle out’ of previous (pre-election) disability commitments.

So while the Government could save some money through attacks on the living standards, dignity and relative independence on the disabled (linking the pension to inflation rather than wages growth), it should be honest that its real motive is not some ‘budget emergency’ – but an Ideological commitment to small government no matter the human cost.

‘Pension austerity’ needs to be considered in the context where all Australian families should benefit from the social insurance paid collectively by all of us – for the sake of our peace of mind – both for ourselves and our loved ones.  And also hopefully because we care about each other as a society.This must include a robust disability pension alongside robust disability insurance.

For those who care about distributive justice, and compassion for the poor and vulnerable, surely there must be better solutions than what is apparently being considered by Hockey and the Liberal Cabinet. 

And indeed there ARE better solutions.  Superannuation Concessions could be wound back – and income tax increased on the basis of a progressive restructuring. Tens of billions could be saved here alone.

To elaborate: It is true that tax cuts delivered overwhelmingly to upper and middle income Australians during the Howard years were recently estimated as costing the Budget around $40 billion a year alone.  And as Richard Denniss has argued on several occasions – superannuation concessions have been of benefit largely to the top 5 per cent income demographic (millionaires basically), a well as the ‘upper middle class’; and more broadly are estimated by the Treasury as costing “$45 billion a year by 2015.”

To summarise: The Government has several potential alternatives on the table they could consider – and the Shorten Opposition should be pursuing these progressive options also.

First: Wind back superannuation concessions for the wealthy and the upper middle class, saving tens of billions.

Second:  Restructure personal income tax.  Perhaps allow bracket creep in the higher brackets – but INDEX the lower two brackets. And perhaps add a bracket for the highest income earners.

Third:  Increase the GST – but only as part of a ‘total package’ which includes increased welfare, tax credits or other tax cuts for lower income Australians, maintenance of exemptions on food and health, and extension of GST exemptions to funerals as well.  Calibrate the overall ‘tax mix’, here, to deliver more progressive outcomes.

Fourth:  Embrace the necessity of ‘larger government’ if ‘the Australian way of life’ is to be preserved – including a fair age of retirement and protection of the most vulnerable from grinding poverty. In this acknowledge that ‘the size of government’ in Australia is already low by international standards.

Fifth:  If the Government is concerned there is an ‘incentive’ for pensioners to apply for the Disability Pension because of the extraordinarily low Newstart unemployment benefit – then INCREASE NEWSTART to respectable and socially sustainable levels – and acknowledge that while the Disability and Aged Pensions are higher – disability and aged pensioners are still living in poverty!

Sixth:  Reconsider spending priorities with ‘upper middle class welfare’. Specifically, reconsider the structure of ‘Paid Parental Leave’, and impose tighter means tests of Private Health Insurance Rebate payments.

Budget pressures also need to be considered in the context of a growing infrastructure crisis.

Federal and State Liberal Governments are at odds with construction unions – not only because of  alleged criminality – but more crucially because there IS an infrastructure deficit – which when combined with robust conditions for workers in the Construction industry make it harder to maintain ‘small government’ alongside basic transport, communications and education infrastructure demands.  And construction workers should not have to pay the price for a right-wing Ideological fixation on reducing the size of government.

Regrettably, there is also an Ideological opposition to public housing at the same time as the dream of home ownership has drifted out of the reach of so many young Australian families since the Howard-era housing boom.

Some Liberals had  considered the GST option perhaps because they realise the infrastructure deficit will have consequences that ‘flow on’ to the private sector. (though in Victoria Napthine now rejects the GST option)   

We need to consider both the impact upon our competitiveness from the ‘infrastructure deficit’– but also the social cost to poorer families in emerging suburbs which lack transport infrastructure and schools.
Finally, today's Conservatives could do worse than to consider the example of the German Christian Democrats from the 1950s – who embraced a "social market" model. As Eric Aarons has explained,this approach suggested "a social vision couched in moral as well as economic terms…", and "recognition of the fundamentally social nature of organised production". Further, it implied a "moral community" "required to legitimate the social order…" , and the"[prevention] of the emergence of a 'two-tier' society" including a layer of permanently poor. (Aarons pp 33-34)
Christian, 'compassionate conservatives' in the Liberal Party do not have to follow the austere, heartless path of economic neo-liberalism. While this writer is a proud liberal democratic socialist as well as a Christian, sometimes it is necessary to promote lines of communication when so much is at stake. We cannot support this kind of 'neo-liberal class war' against the vulnerable and disadvantaged: a budget which hits the poor and the vulnerable in order to redistribute wealth towards the wealthy and the upper middle class.
 
Aarons, Eric; Hayek versus Marx And Today’s Challenges; Routledge. New York, 2009
 
 
 

Monday, August 24, 2009

Pension reform cause still urgent


above: Australian PM and Deputy PM - Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard - important progress on pension justice - but still some way to go...

Recently Mark Davis reported in The Age (August 13, 2009) on plans canvassed by the Henry tax review to reform superannuation and aged pensions.

According to Davis, the plan suggests that: “… lower income earners retiring with low superannuation lump sums would be given the opportunity of handing the money to the government in return for guaranteed income payments indexed to the age pension.” http://business.theage.com.au/business/topup-plan-for-low-super-20090812-eib1.html

To clarify: “For a retiree with $100,000, the top-ups could be worth 20 per cent of the age pension and would come in addition to the means-tested entitlement to the pension.” http://business.theage.com.au/business/topup-plan-for-low-super-20090812-eib1.html

Finally, according to Fiona Reynolds, the chief executive officer of The Australian Institute of Superannuation Trustees: “There are not a lot of lifetime annuity products, and the ones around are pretty highly priced, especially for retirees with small amounts of savings. If someone with a lump sum of $60,000 could buy a top-up to the age pension from the government, it might provide an extra $2000 a year.” http://business.theage.com.au/business/topup-plan-for-low-super-20090812-eib1.html

The demand for such lifetime annuity “products” reflects what some call “longevity risk” - the prospect that retirees will live longer, and that their superannuation and savings will not last them.

Importantly though, for those profiting from private provision of “lifetime annuity” products, and even private superannuation funds, there is a motive to undermine a universal aged pension system.

While it is desirable to improve retirement incomes and national savings, there are dangers in the possible marginalisation of the aged pension and those dependant on it.

A single public “life-time annuity” product might play a potentially legitimate role in supplementing pensions for some. But aged pensioners must have the flexibility to reclaim this from the government when there is a real and immediate need. Meanwhile there are many for whom even a modest $60,000-$100,000 in lifetime savings is “out of reach”. What will become of these people with the stratification of retirement schemes and incomes?

Private self-funded retirement products, specifically superannuation, are also exposed to risk - as evident in the current financial crisis.

Retirees ought to enjoy financial security regardless of financial market trends. The element of “risk” could - and should - be “hedged” against collectively by citizens and tax payers through a public pension fund (with returns supplemented by tax as a last resort - and hence secure).

Earlier this year, in the Left Focus blog, http://leftfocus.blogspot.com/2009/05/mixed-bag-budget-but-still-better-than.html I considered the need for sweeping reform of public pensions.

While the 2009 Australian Budget provided for a degree of distributive justice, further change is desirable. Pension reform is necessary as a matter of social justice - in addition to any public “lifetime annuity” scheme.

Already, reform has provided for a future increase of $32.49 per week to full rate single pensioners and $10.14 per week combined to couple pensioners. http://www.budget.gov.au/2009-10/content/overview/html/overview_22.htm

As of September 20, 2009 pension reform will see a new legislated benchmark for singles of 27.7 per cent of Male Total Average Weekly Earnings, up from 25 per cent”. http://www.budget.gov.au/2009-10/content/overview/html/overview_22.htm

Importantly, though, the value of such reform is undermined and (in part) “swallowed up” by the impact of a rising cost of living, including rent, food, water and energy. http://www.independentweekly.com.au/news/local/news/general/real-living-costs-rising-sacoss/1564636.aspx

Earlier this year - and as the Federal Budget approached - I noted, http://leftfocus.blogspot.com/2009/05/one-last-plea-for-justice-and.html

“Given cost-of-living pressures, it is reasonable to suppose that [the Singled Aged Pension] ought to be lifted to at least 30 per cent of Male Average Total Weekly Earnings (MATWE). … This would lift such pensions (at the full single rate) to about $17,537 a year: a significant improvement.”

Such reforms should be the absolute minimum provided by the Federal Government to be implemented at the very next opportunity; and should be provided to all receiving full single pensions (including the aged, the disabled, job-seekers, and carers).

Proportionate improvements to pensioner couples is also important – of course.

And yet there is a case for more robust reform for the most vulnerable pensioners. The Council on the Ageing (COTA) has argued for a full single pension formula of 35 per cent of Male Average Total Weekly Earnings.

As I noted in March this year in the “Left Focus” blog: “A “Cost of Living in Retirement” benchmark http://www.cotansw.com.au/a-fair-go-for-pensioners.aspx could translate to $750.60 a fortnight for singles, and $1125.90 a fortnight for couples. For singles, this would amount to $19,515 a year for those living purely on the pension.”

Such reform has been promoted by the Combined Pensioners’ and Superannuants’ Association with the aim of targeting those pensioners with little or no additional income. http://leftfocus.blogspot.com/2009_03_01_archive.html

A stronger single aged pension needs to be consolidated as part of a bulwark against the stratification in the pension system in Australia: and against the marginalisation of those dependent upon it. A public pension fund provided through progressive taxation - and spreading fairly and evenly the cost of “hedging” risk - needs to be established as a matter of top priority by the Federal Government.

Importantly, though, while means testing can play a central and progressive role, it should not be too onerous for those of relatively modest means. There must also be incentives for those on lower and middle incomes to save.

And again if there is a place for any “lifetime annuity” programs, then this should be in the form of a public and not-for-profit scheme.

Finally, the Federal Government needs to reconsider its commitment to raise the retirement age in Australia to 67. http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25471039-5017014,00.html

Federal Opposition frontbencher Tony Abbott has canvassed the possibility of raising that age even further - to 70. http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/27/2638060.htm

Such plans as these, from both the Federal Labor government and the Opposition, are discriminatory and unfair for a number of reasons.


To begin with, manual workers can experience strain - and sometimes disability - as a consequence of years of physical labour. Furthermore, older workers regularly face negative discrimination by employers. And the prospect of necessary and radical re-skilling late in one’s career does not seem fair or productive. That such people can be left dependant upon an inferior “Newstart” job-seekers pension under such circumstances is also plainly unjust.
http://www.olderworkers.com.au/index.php?news_id=347

The kind of society we ought to be encouraging is one where we “work to live” and not just “live to work” even where work is alienating and unrewarding. Retaining the retirement age of 65 may cost the “budget bottom line” into the future. But what younger tax payers forsake in the short term, they may reap for themselves in the long term.

We need aim for a scenario where, as Karl Marx once put it, “[rewarding] labor [becomes] not only a means of life but life's prime want”. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/From_each_according_to_his_ability,_to_each_according_to_his_need

Whereas Marx’s aim, here, of “exploding” the division of labour is not an immediately realisable prospect, what is reasonable and immediately achieveable is the preservation of a more generous retirement age. Here, the goal is for citizens to enjoy an earlier and more sustained retirement - with freedom and opportunity to commit to family, friends, community, self-development and/or civic activism. Indeed, to provide such opportunities to all citizens there is even a reasonable argument to shorten the working week.

A decent, fair and equitable pension system is core to the goal of social justice. Labor governments are elected - for many - in the hope they might implement real social reform.

Let us hope this Federal Labor government makes the most of this opportunity entrusted to them by the people.

SleptOn.com

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